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Euronext grain market – geopolitical tensions play an overwhelming role in price dynamics

• Conflicts in the Middle East continue to dominate the attention of market operators. In the fifth week of the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices maintain their upward trend, reaching $ 115 per barrel in London on Monday morning.

The new depreciation of the euro against the dollar, which returned below the 1,1500 threshold earlier this week, is providing a support factor for European raw material prices. This mechanical price adjustment is thus causing an increase in quotations, both in the physical market and in the Euronext futures market.

Faced with this recovery, European exporters remain vigilant in this second part of the campaign regarding the attractiveness of Black Sea origins in early spring. The tender launched yesterday by Tunisia, for soft wheat for a loading period announced between the beginning of May and the first half of June, will thus be monitored.

The most dynamic market yesterday on Euronext was that of rapeseed, which confirmed its return above €500/t for the near term. The May 2026 contract, which expires in a month, ended the session at €508/t, returning to €510/t during the day. Rapeseed oil prices are, in parallel, recording a slight increase in the short term.

The geopolitical and macroeconomic context remains dominant, and operators will carefully follow developments in the Middle East, the euro/dollar exchange rate and data. USDA report scheduled to be launched on Tuesday, March 31, 2026, to calibrate trading in the immediate future.

Euronext Grains Market

Euronext quotes on 30.03.2026 (GMT+1)

Wheat (€/t)

May 2026203.75+ 0.50
September 2026213.75+ 1.25
December 2026220.75+ 1.25
March 2027225.50+ 1.75
May 2027229.00+ 2.25

Maize (€/t)

June 2026208.25+ 0.00
August 2026211.00+ 1.00
November 2026208.25+ 1.25
March 2027212.00+ 2.00
June 2027212.00+ 1.75

Rapeseed (€/t)

May 2026508.00+ 7.75
August 2026501.00+ 6.25
November 2026503.50+ 6.50
February 2027501.75+ 6.00
May 2027499.75+ 6.00

Article written by Gabriela Dan, Editor-in-Chief Arta Albă

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