• The weather is proving capricious, with rains disrupting harvests in northern Europe and central Russia.
Trading markets They started the week without a clear direction despite a particularly abundant flow of information. Operators are adjusting their production estimates in the northern hemisphere, although harvests are currently suspended due to rains in both Europe and the Black Sea region.
Russia remains an area of uncertainty: agricultural work is behind schedule and the volume of harvests in the southern part of the country is low. As a result, the entire logistics chain will have to mobilize to transport goods from the center of the country to the ports. Concerns persist about the quality of the 2025 harvest, due to continuous rains that have affected the region for several days.
In Europe, MARS Observatory has again updated its yield estimates for the single area:
– Soft wheat: 6,09 t/ha (unchanged from last month), compared to a five-year average of 5,77 t/ha;
– Winter barley: 5,45 t/ha (compared to 5,38 t/ha last month), five-year average: 4,81 t/ha;
– Spring barley: 5,00 t/ha (compared to 4,90 t/ha last month), five-year average: 4,66 t/ha;
– Rapeseed: 3,20 t/ha (compared to 3,18 t/ha last month), five-year average: 3,16 t/ha.
Euronext quotes on 21.07.2025 (GMT+1)
Wheat (€/t)
| September 2025 | 202.00 | -0.50 |
| December 2025 | 210.25 | -1.25 |
| March 2026 | 217.00 | -1.50 |
| May 2026 | 221.00 | -1.75 |
| September 2026 | 225.00 | -1.75 |
Maize (€/t)
| August 2025 | 211.00 | + 1.25 |
| November 2025 | 200.75 | -1.25 |
| March 2026 | 206.50 | -1.50 |
| June 2026 | 209.25 | -1.25 |
| August 2026 | 216.75 | -1.25 |
Rapeseed (€/t)
| August 2025 | 470.50 | -2.50 |
| November 2025 | 480.75 | -3.75 |
| February 2026 | 485.50 | -4.00 |
| May 2026 | 487.50 | -3.50 |
| August 2026 | 464.25 | -5.50 |
Article written by Gabriela Dan, Editor-in-Chief Arta Albă
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